Thursday, July 28, 2011

Headlines, Crap Games and Outsiders

Well, Week 21 of the 2011 NRL Premiership has been another one full of drama and interest. Before hitting some of the bigger issues – how about Canberra’s win on Monday night!! That is one of the great hoodoos in any Australian support and you’d almost think it was scripted! But one last gasp try won’t make or break the season for either side. Moving on, and Jarryd Hayne kicks us off this week.

Player Behaviour

Hayne was in the headlines for head-butting, again, at the start of this week but it was rather a playful incident that got just slightly out of hand. Then it spiralled out of control a little bit as Parramatta nearly made a complete mess of it. The incident was very, very minor and as Paul Kent said on The Back Page (Tuesday’s 8pm, Fox Sports News – check it out), was a case of “boys being boys”.

Kent was completely right and I think players’ off-field behaviour across the code has been very good this year. I can’t think of too many major incidents and there certainly hasn’t been as many as recent seasons.

I feel sorry for these guys who do like to go out and do the things most 20-something men and women do on any given Saturday night. But these footballers are in the spotlight and do become targets. Unfortunately you can’t take the big bucks and remain anonymous – you can’t have both.

Scheduling

NSW residents let’s be honest – did anyone really care to watch Bulldogs vs. Eels live on Channel Nine last week when Team One was playing Team Four? I understand the tradition between the clubs and yes Melbourne and Brisbane are two sides that probably don’t have a large following in Sydney. Sure that game also wasn’t the epic contest it could have been.

But it was better than Team 13 vs. Team 14 surely!! And better than two sides who have been pretty ordinary this year, who together would hardly have more wins than Melbourne or Brisbane! Last weeks’ Eels vs. Bulldogs was a game I call – two shit teams. The only interesting facet of that match was the fact the scores were close.

The worrying thing is these games were selected six weeks in advance. Can you imagine if we have a full pre-selected season like this? We could have shit game after shit game in what’s traditionally been the match of the round slot!

I could handle say the first half of the season being pre-determined with every team playing each other once. But after that, scheduling should be a maximum of six weeks in advance.

Welcome home Petero

As a Broncos fan I think it’s fantastic Petero Civoniceva is coming home to end his career. It was shattering when he was forced to leave and this champion man deserves the right to end things on his terms and get a proper farewell.

Full credit and thanks to Penrith as well for the professional way they have handled this situation.

Warriors in the mix

The Warriors are the only other team right now capable of pushing the top five contenders. They were ruthless in putting Souths away last week and play a brand of football that on its day can beat anyone. They have defeated Melbourne once this year and could easily string wins together when it counts.

Wests Tigers are the other team in the hunt if they get it together. Their playing rostered is too talented to be languishing in the bottom half of the eight but they still have time this season. Stringing a run together won’t be a problem for this side and they too can beat anyone on any day.

As for the other top eight contenders – it doesn’t matter. From what I’ve seen, they will be cannon fodder for the minor premiers.

TIPPING
Tips – Manly, Brisbane, Roosters, Penrith, Warriors, Newcastle, Dragons, Melbourne
Last Week – 3/8
Total –88/144 (61%)

That’s it for this week and you can contact me in the usual ways. My email (andrew.keyte@gmail.com), comments board or Twitter (@keyto316) is waiting for you.

Cheers,
Keyto

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Qld Teams Rd 21 - Lockyer eases hamstring fears

Bronco hearts skipped a beat when Darren Lockyer left the Storm game late last week complaining of a hamstring twinge – but those concerns have been nullified.

In what was a precautionary measure, Lockyer called it a night with his side trailing the league leaders comfortably and watched the final eight minutes with ice on the hamstring.

However the retiring veteran has trained in both sessions this week and looks to be in no doubt to face Cronulla at Suncorp Stadium on Friday night.

In the only other change to the side that played better than the 6-26 scoreboard against Melbourne might suggest, hulking prop David Hala comes onto the bench with Mitchell Dodds (shoulder) ruled out.

Hala exploded onto the NRL scene during the representative period before being forced into the Queensland Cup due to Origin and injury returns.

In off-field news, the Broncos today announced Petero Civoniceva will return to the club for one final season in 2012.

Civoniceva played 215 games for the Broncos before spending the past four seasons captaining the Penrith Panthers.

Gold Coast Titan fullback Luke Capewell has also signed a one year deal with the Broncos for next season.

Having initially signed with the Titans as a five-eighth option, Capewell will compete with Ben Hunt and Corey Norman to fill Lockyer’s void next year.

Friday’s match with the Sharks kicks-off at 7:35pm and will be live into Queensland on Channel Nine.

Cronulla could have captain Paul Gallen back from a calf injury in what shapes as a must win game if they are to push for the top eight.

Cowboys unchanged

Despite having Johnathan Thurston sidelined, the North Queensland Cowboys have maintained their good form to sit in fourth position on the table.

They have won two of the three games without the pivotal Thurston and take an unchanged team into Saturday night’s home clash with Penrith.

Leeson Ah Mau has been added to the bench but coach Neil Henry is likely to stick with the same team that fought hard for a 28-20 win over the Titans last week.

Centre Brent Tate scored one of the Cowboys five tries against Gold Coast and looked impressive as he eased his way into another comeback.

Halfback Ben Jones admirably filled the halfback jersey and has at least three more games before Thurston is slated to return.

The injury-depleted Panthers need a victory on Saturday to be a chance at skipping into the top eight.

North Queensland will have Scott Bolton and Michael Bani available for selection next week with the duo to play Queensland Cup on Saturday.

Bolton has been troubled by a calf injury all season while Bani is returning from an ankle problem.

Saturday’s NRL match with the Panthers will be live on Fox Sports Two from 7:30pm.

Laffranchi notches 200

Foundation Titan Anthony Laffranchi will register his 200th NRL game Sunday against the Knights in Newcastle.

Laffranchi has been a key squad member since the Titans debuted in 2007 but is leaving the NRL at the end of this season to play in the English Super League.

Coach John Cartwright has made two changes to the side that lost 20-28 to the Cowboys last week.

With a view to the future, teenage fullback Jordan Rankin has been recalled while winger Dominique Peyroux will make his NRL debut.

After impressing in the Under 20’s, Rankin replaces the Broncos-bound Luke Capewell for the Knights game.

Peyroux represented Cook Islands in 2009 and the 22 year-old winger has impressed for the Titans undefeated Queensland Cup feeder team Tweed Heads.

He replaces Steve Michaels who was heavily concussed in the North Queensland match.

Five-eighth Beau Henry was solid in his Titans debut after playing just over an hour last week.

He returns this week to Newcastle where he played six games earlier in the season before linking with the Gold Coast.

Sunday’s match is live on Fox Sports Two and kicks off at 2pm.

Brisbane Broncos vs. Sharks, Friday 7:35pm, (Channel Nine, live)
Josh Hoffman, Gerard Beale, Jack Reed, Justin Hodges, Jharal Yow Yeh, Darren Lockyer (c), Peter Wallace, Ben Hannant, Andrew McCullough, Scott Anderson, Alex Glenn (c), Sam Thaiday, Corey Parker. Interchange: Matt Gillett, Ben Hunt, David Hala, Josh McGuire.

North Queensland Cowboys vs. Panthers, Saturday 7:30pm, (Fox Sports, live)
Matthew Bowen, Ashley Graham, Brent Tate, Willie Tonga, Kalifa Faifai Loa, Ray Thompson, Ben Jones, Matt Scott (c), Aaron Payne, Ashton Sims, Gavin Cooper, Tariq Sims, Dallas Johnson. Interchange: James Segeyaro, Glenn Hall, Cory Paterson, James Tamou, Leeson Ah Mau (one to be omitted).

Gold Coast Titans vs. Knights, Sunday 2pm, (Fox Sports, live)
Jordan Rankin, Dominique Peyroux, William Zillman, Clinton Toopi, David Mead, Beau Henry, Scott Prince (c), Luke Bailey, Matt Srama, Anthony Laffranchi, Bodene Thompson, Mark Minichiello, Greg Bird. Interchange: Matthew White, Brenton Lawrence, Luke O’Dwyer, Preston Campbell.

Thursday, July 21, 2011

Premiership a race in Five

If your team is not currently in the top third of the competition then I’m sorry, it’s time to plan for next year. The current ladder reads Storm, Manly, Dragons, Broncos and Cowboys. The race for the last three spots will be exciting and these sides may give fans some hope, but with just 11 weeks to go the fab five are the only genuine contenders.

Manly – Team to Beat

Last weekend I watched Manly beat the Knights, a team well in the hunt for the Finals, on their home ground. What’s more, the Sea Eagles did it at half pace with one arm tied behind their back. It was just that easy. I know the Knights were hurting but still, now is the time to drop all excuses.

Manly absolutely smoked them probably from the toss of the coin. The week before, they rolled through South Sydney and not long ago ran over an Origin star-less Broncos.

Granted they failed their toughest test against the Dragons recently but this is a side with plenty left for September. The entire side is rock solid without being overly extravagant and they have the soon to be confirmed rookie of the year steering them around at halfback. This side is better than the 2009 Premiership one and will take some real stopping.

Dragons – World Champions

Never count out a champion and this football side is a very good one. What’s more, they only have 10 or so games left together because next year it will be completely different to the Grand Final side of 2010.

The Mark Gasnier retirement won’t be a huge driving force because he’s left the Dragons once before, but again he is one of many leaving the club.

These guys definitely have the side to go back-to-back and win another title. However having the side and the desire is one thing, doing it is a whole new challenge.

Melbourne – Point to Prove

I backed the Storm to finish in the lower part of the top eight this season but they have proven everyone wrong and will claim a top three finish. They keep their game simple with a flutter of world class plays from their big three. If one of them goes down though – trouble!

The concern with the Storm is they have been on top all year with this, with respect, spare parts team. Everything’s come together (which is a massive credit to the coaching) and they are as hard to beat as when they had the billion dollar team. But can they keep it going?

One or two injuries could derail this campaign but I also wonder how much they have left? I could see one of the other teams coming over the top of the Storm before GF day. But having said that, never discount the “us-against-the-world” mentality which this side is playing with.

Brisbane – Competition Smokey’s

The Broncos have surprised everyone too after missing the finals last season. Most judges picked the Broncos to hover around the top eight but now they will probably finish in the top four. This is a side full of talent but sprinkled with some big name, experienced players.

However they are also the youngest and most inexperienced side chasing the title and that could show in the big games.

Their biggest asset is the Darren Lockyer factor. These stories often end in tears but the Broncos have a very recent happy memory – Shane Webcke, 2006. This is huge motivation and can’t be overlooked. Big value in the Broncos for any punters out there because this side, on their day, can beat anyone.

Cowboys – On one man’s back (well, knee)

These guys, in my eyes, looked as though they could have been specials to rock this competition right up until Origin III earlier in the month. I was there when Johnathan Thurston busted his knee and said to my friends the Cowboys wouldn’t win another game without him.

Well they proved me wrong in Newcastle and they stuck with the Tigers for a while, but they can’t beat the top four without him. Thurston is what Lockyer is to the Broncos, Marshall is to the Tigers, Soward is to the Dragons and Johns was to the Knights.

As a Broncos fan I have seen it twice with Lockyer getting hurt around this time of year and the club struggled to win another game let alone challenge for a title.

Look, if the Cowboys can hang tough and JT can return to some kind of form before the Finals then I believe North Queensland is a genuine threat. But if they lose all momentum and Thurston comes back underdone, they will slip out the back door.

TIPPING
Tips – Bulldogs, Broncos, Titans, Cronulla, Tigers, Souths, Manly, Dragons
Last Week – 8/8
Total –85/136 (63%)

In the next few weeks I will have a look at the other sides’ challenging for the top eight. We know in this competition your season is never over until you lose a sudden-death game. For now you can email me (andrew.keyte@gmail.com), Tweet me (@keyto316) or comment below.

See ya,
Keyto

Tuesday, July 19, 2011

Qld Teams - Reunion in Melbourne

Nine members of the successful Queensland Origin team will share AAMI Park on Friday night when the Broncos travel to face the Storm.

The Broncos are almost at full strength for what has been a grudge match since Brisbane defeated Melbourne in the 2006 Grand Final.

Darren Lockyer is expected to overcome the flu in time to join Origin team mates Justin Hodges, Sam Thaiday, Ben Hannant, Jharal Yow Yeh and Corey Parker for Friday’s game.

They will square off against fellow Queenslanders Cameron Smith, Billy Slater and Cooper Cronk as the Broncos seek to avenge a 22-29 loss earlier in the year.

That match was played barely 24 hours after the Test Match and Broncos coach Anthony Griffin took innovative injury precautions by refusing to play Lockyer, Hodges, Hannant and Thaiday.

Melbourne are currently leading the competition while the Broncos are two wins behind them in 4th spot.

The Broncos have regained starting prop Scott Anderson for this weekend’s return match after the former Melbourne player missed last week’s 30-10 win over the Titans with a bout of asthma.

His inclusion is the only change to the side and pushes young forward Dunamis Lui to the 18th man role.

However Lui may be battling a rib injury following a training accident this morning and would be in some doubt for the Storm game.

Former Australian forward Dane Carlaw made his return from a knee injury in the Queensland Cup last week.

That just leaves Ben Te’o on the injured list as he tries to overcome his second fractured arm of the season.

Friday’s match is live into Queensland from 7:30pm on Channel Nine.

Henry debuts

After waiting nearly a month, the Gold Coast Titans will reveal their new five-eighth Beau Henry in Saturday’s match against the Cowboys at Skilled Park.

Signed from Newcastle in June, Henry spent time training with the Titans before a back injury slowed his preparation.

After playing Queensland Cup last week Henry will finally have a chance to add to his six NRL games this season – all while playing for the Knights.

The Titans have struggled to create attacking opportunities all season with no one able to lock down a position alongside Scott Prince in the halves.

Coach John Cartwright has tried Luke Capewell, William Zillman, Preston Campbell, Greg Bird and even called Mat Rogers from retirement to fill the five-eighth jersey.

Henry now seems the front-runner to establish himself for 2012 in the final seven games of what has been a wretched season for Gold Coast.

The Titans are in last position, have lost four in a row and hold the worst points differential in the league meaning they cannot even mathematically make the 2011 Finals.

Henry’s debut sees Zillman move to the centres with Bodene Thompson into the back row replacing the injured Ashley Harrison.

The Queensland lock hurt his elbow against the Broncos and despite fears his season was over, Harrison is hopeful of returning in the last few weeks of the year.

Brenton Lawrence returns to the bench with Michael Henderson sidelined after breaking a finger.

Saturday will see the Titans play their second consecutive derby game and will be live on Fox Sports from 5:30pm.

Jones to halfback

Former Sydney Rooster and Indigenous All Star player Ben Jones will be given the lofty task of deputising for Johnathan Thurston on Saturday night.

Jones replaces Michael Morgan in the halfback jersey for the Cowboys match on the Gold Coast against the bottom-placed Titans.

After playing a handful of games in the centres and off the bench, Jones gets his chance this week alongside Ray Thompson in the halves while Morgan plays Queensland Cup.

Fullback Matt Bowen took over most of the organising in last weekend’s 18-38 loss to Wests Tigers and is expected to again be the attacking general against the Titans.

Captain Matt Scott will have to prove his fitness after a back injury saw him drop out of the side with Leeson Ah Mau called in to face the Tigers.

Ashton and Tariq Sims have been retained in the starting side with James Tamou joining Glenn Hall on a six man bench.

Joel Riethmuller, along with Scott and Jones, is the other new face in the 19 man squad.

Last week Brent Tate made a successful return from a serious knee injury and showed enough signs to suggest he will be a major asset as the Cowboys strive to return to Finals football.

North Queensland is in 5th position and while Thurston remains on track for a six week recovery from a knee injury, the Cowboys will hope to maintain some momentum and winning form while they wait.

They were badly beaten 18-37 in the corresponding match last year but comfortably defeated the Titans 22-12 at Dairy Farmers Stadium earlier this year.

Brisbane Broncos vs. Storm, Friday 7:35pm, (Channel Nine, live)
Josh Hoffman, Gerard Beale, Jack Reed, Justin Hodges, Jharal Yow Yeh, Darren Lockyer (c), Peter Wallace, Ben Hannant, Andrew McCullough, Scott Anderson, Alex Glenn (c), Sam Thaiday, Corey Parker. Interchange: Matt Gillett, Ben Hunt, Mitchell Dodds, Josh McGuire, Dunamis Lui (one to be omitted).

Gold Coast Titans vs. Cowboys, Saturday 5:30pm, (Fox Sports, live)
Luke Capewell, Steve Michaels, William Zillman, Clinton Toopi, David Mead, Beau Henry, Scott Prince (c), Luke Bailey, Matt Srama, Anthony Laffranchi, Bodene Thompson, Mark Minichiello, Greg Bird. Interchange: Matthew White, Brenton Lawrence, Luke O’Dwyer, Preston Campbell.

North Queensland Cowboys vs. Titans, Saturday 5:30pm, (Fox Sports, live)
Matthew Bowen, Ashley Graham, Brent Tate, Willie Tonga, Kalifa Faifai Loa, Ray Thompson, Ben Jones, Matt Scott (c), Aaron Payne, Ashton Sims, Gavin Cooper, Tariq Sims, Dallas Johnson. Interchange: James Segeyaro, Glenn Hall, Cory Paterson, James Tamou, Joel Riethmuller, Leeson Ah Mau (two to be omitted).

Thursday, July 14, 2011

The Great Expansion Debate

It seems a sure thing the NRL will increase by at least two sides at some stage in the next five years. The new Brisbane bid is the latest in the news with their claims as to why they must be given one of the licenses. I live in Brisbane but am probably in the minority by stating I think there are better options to expand towards a ‘National’ rugby league competition. Without getting too deep with a corporate or demographic debate, I’m going to rate the contenders in order from an NRL fans’ perspective.

WA is a MUST!!

The WA time zone is the biggest asset any Western bid has over their rivals and I think could almost be enough on its own to win. The two hour difference allows broadcasters to beam matches back live to the east coast – often after a live match already. This is great for advertising, sponsorship and for those fans who like to watch live NRL.

Plus you can throw in the bumper crowd last month in awful conditions, a decent stadium and strong fan support.

It’s a no-brainer for mine; Western Australia wins the first slot.

Central Queensland

I would be fascinated to see a team based out of Rockhampton or somewhere in that region. There is huge fan support in a large, vacant area between the Broncos and Cowboys catchment. The Queensland Government would need to get on board and there might be some financial challenges – but this is an option worth exploring.

Brisbane

The city is big enough and rugby league’s popular enough to sustain a second NRL side. The South Queensland Crushers were popular back in their day and if someone came in and worked the same way as the Titans, another team here could work.

But there is already one major side in Brisbane plus the Titans just down the road – only about 90 minutes tops from the CBD.

If we’re looking to expand the competition in south-east Queensland I would prefer to see a second ‘Brisbane’ team based out in the western suburbs. Somewhere in the Logan or Ipswich area would be good – that is (very) roughly halfway between Brisbane and the Gold Coast.

The Sunshine Coast is another possible option if the fan support and corporate dollar is favourable.

However any side in Ipswich, Logan or the Sunshine Coast would still likely be based at Suncorp Stadium because no government could really justify building or upgrading a new stadium.

Central Coast Bears

The biggest drawback for the Central Coast is their location – New South Wales. I don’t know the area but if the Bears come in, they will effectively become another Sydney team. That’s how everyone outside the state sees Newcastle and Penrith, by the way.

I understand there is huge fan support for a club and they will have the corporate backing, but for true expansion there is only one way I could fully justify a Central Coast team ahead of any others.

The best chance the Bears have is for a current Sydney team to fold or fully relocate to the Coast, and I don’t see that happening any time soon.

Wellington

The Warriors are great for the NRL but we don’t need a second team in New Zealand at this time. If they want more games in New Zealand then a deal will need to be struck with some of the current sides.

I’m not saying we’ll never have a side in Wellington, but there are other regions in Australia who need a team more at this stage.

PNG

If it was up to me I would have an NRL side in Papua New Guinea straight away. A PNG side would create a whole new dimension to the competition in terms of on-field play and fanatical fan support.

However, it’s just simply not a feasible option.

PNG would struggle to attract quality players, provide high quality facilities and favourable TV deals. Plus of course there are the challenges with sponsorship and corporate backing.

A Queensland Cup side is a more viable option for PNG but even that seems a long way off.

Adelaide

Sorry Adelaide, we tried it once and never again. Saturday night’s poultry 9,900 crowd for the Bulldogs vs. Storm game at Adelaide Oval was the final nail in, let’s face it, a very old coffin.

Apart from those diehard fans I doubt we could find too many people seriously interested in an Adelaide side above any of the other contenders.

TIPPING
Tips – Warriors, Broncos, Souths, Tigers, Penrith, Melbourne, Manly, Dragons
Last Week – 4/7
Total –77/128 (60%)

There’s a heap of teams with huge matches coming up in the next month so make sure you get out and support your side! Or get out and tell everyone why your region needs a side! You can chat to me on email (andrew.keyte@gmail.com), Twitter (@keyto316) or comment below.

Have a great week,
Keyto

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Qld Teams Rd 19 - Stars return for Rivalry Round

The eight Origin representatives from last week’s Decider will all play in Friday’s south-east Queensland blockbuster between the Broncos and Titans at Suncorp Stadium.

After some time off, Brisbane captain Darren Lockyer along with Sam Thaiday, Justin Hodges, Corey Parker, Ben Hannant and Jharal Yow Yeh have all been named in the starting side for this weekend’s match.

Gold Coast have been boosted themselves by naming Greg Bird and Ashley Harrison in their forward pack for the clash.

Despite their opposite positions on the table, any time the Broncos play the Titans the competition is fierce.

However the Broncos have won the last four contests, including a gritty 14-8 win in Round Three this season despite having little more than 40 per cent of possession.

They have lost to the Titans just three times in eight games at Suncorp Stadium and were last beaten by the Gold Coast in 2009.

Origin returns have allowed coach Anthony Griffin to name a near full-strength team closely resembling the side that won seven games in a row from Round Two.

Only Ben Te’o (fractured arm) and Dane Carlaw (knee) remain in the casualty ward but both could return as early as next week.

This weekend Gerard Beale has edged out Dale Copley for the left wing position leaving Copley to join Dane Gagai and Corey Norman in the Under 20’s.

Props Nick Kenny and David Hala will play Queensland Cup with Mitchell Dodds and Josh McGuire preferred on the bench.

Hooker Kurt Baptiste and forward Dunamis Lui are the likely duo to drop off a six man interchange.

After a huge week at Suncorp Stadium which saw over 100,000 people attending Origin III and the Super Rugby Final, at least another 30,000 fans are expected Friday night.

Brisbane sit comfortably in fifth position on the table, three wins clear of their nearest rival, and can push strongly for at least a top four finish.

The south-east Queensland derby match will be broadcast live into the state on Channel Nine from 7:30pm.

Rogers re-retires

Titans veteran Mat Rogers was a late inclusion last week but that appearance will most definitely be his last after breaking his foot.

Rogers suffered the injury during the first half of Gold Coast’s 6-22 loss to the Warriors in New Zealand but bravely played out his 200th NRL game.

Having initially rejoined the Titans for the rest of this season only, the 35-year-old Dual International had surgery today and while he will remain with the club, Rogers’ playing days are over.

Coach John Cartwright has called on Preston Campbell, back from a wrist injury, to replace Rogers on the bench while a refreshed Bird will start in the back row.

That sees Anthony Laffranchi in the front row with Michael Henderson on a five man bench alongside impressive forward Brenton Lawrence, who was named 18th man.

Luke Capewell has been recalled at fullback following blistering form in the Queensland Cup, including 15 tries for the year, to replace the omitted Jordan Rankin.

While still a mathematical chance of making the finals, realistically the bottom-placed Titans are playing for pride and the role of spoiler for the remainder of the season.

With just four wins for the year and the worst points differential (-147) in the league, Gold Coast would have to win all eight remaining games to be any chance of scraping through.

However the Titans will be eying off the Broncos as a possible start to salvaging something from a difficult 2011 season.

Cowboys name Tate

Australian, Queensland and Premiership winner Brent Tate has been named to make his Cowboys debut and play his first game of the season this weekend.

Tate suffered a horror knee injury, requiring a third reconstruction for his career, playing for Australia in the Four Nations Final last October.

Having signed a three year deal with the Cowboys in June last year, Tate will hopefully finally wear the jersey for the first time on Saturday night against Wests Tigers.

He has been named in the centres along with Willie Tonga, who successfully returned from a shoulder injury in last night’s gutsy 22-12 win over Newcastle.

However Tonga received an accidental knee to the chest before leaving the game with a corked thigh and is in some doubt to play the Tigers.

Centre Will Tupou has been named on the bench as cover for Tate and Tonga while boom youngster Tariq Sims returns from a two game suspension.

Hooker Aaron Payne is expected back from a fractured finger while it is hoped Johnathan Thurston’s knee injury from Origin III will only keep him sidelined for no more than six weeks.

Michael Morgan has been named at halfback, where he played last night, but Thurston’s scans indicate he should return in time for the Finals.

While a home final beckoned prior to Thurston’s injury, the Cowboys will now adapt their game around the new halves combination of Morgan and Ray Thompson to stay in touch with the Premiership contenders.

North Queensland has won their last seven matches at Dairy Farmers Stadium and sit in fourth position.

The Cowboys host 2005 Grand Final opponents Wests Tigers on Saturday night with the visitors holding a 12-11 career winning record, including six of the last seven matches.

The match is live on Fox Sports Viewers Choice and kicks off at 7:30pm.

Brisbane Broncos vs. Titans, Friday 7:35pm, (Channel Nine, live)
Josh Hoffman, Gerard Beale, Jack Reed, Justin Hodges, Jharal Yow Yeh, Darren Lockyer (c), Peter Wallace, Ben Hannant, Andrew McCullough, Scott Anderson, Alex Glenn (c), Sam Thaiday, Corey Parker. Interchange: Matt Gillett, Ben Hunt, Mitchell Dodds, Josh McGuire, Kurt Baptiste, Dunamis Lui (two to be omitted).

Gold Coast Titans vs. Broncos, Friday 7:35pm, (Channel Nine, live)
Luke Capewell, Steve Michaels, Clinton Toopi, Bodene Thompson, David Mead, William Zillman, Scott Prince (c), Luke Bailey, Matt Srama, Anthony Laffranchi, Greg Bird, Mark Minichiello, Ashley Harrison. Interchange: Matthew White, Michael Henderson, Luke O’Dwyer, Preston Campbell, Brenton Lawrence (one to be omitted).

North Queensland Cowboys vs. Tigers, Saturday 7:30pm, (Fox Sports, live)
Matthew Bowen, Ashley Graham, Brent Tate, Willie Tonga, Kalifa Faifai Loa, Ray Thompson, Michael Morgan, Matt Scott (c), Aaron Payne, James Tamou, Gavin Cooper, Glenn Hall, Dallas Johnson. Interchange: James Segeyaro, Joel Riethmuller, Ashton Sims, Tariq Sims, Cory Paterson, Will Tupou, Leeson Ah Mau (three to be omitted).

Thursday, July 7, 2011

Reflections on Darren Lockyer Day

In case you missed it, Wednesday July 6, 2011 was officially Darren Lockyer Day here in Queensland! It was a day to celebrate a marvellous Origin career by a man of not only great skill, but wonderful personality and humility too. Last night’s result, for Queensland, was fitting for a Maroon Immortal in his final show.

Origin III

Heading into Suncorp Stadium last night I honestly had no idea who was going to win the match. This was the Blues best chance in six years to win a series because they’d finally picked a half decent team and the Maroons dynasty was appearing to be on shakier ground.

But once the Maroons crossed for that first try it was never in doubt ... actually once they crossed for that first try then forced a line drop out in the next set, it was never in doubt.

Queensland skipped away to a fitting 24-nil lead and despite two tries to the Blues before halftime, the crowd was in party mode.

NSW threatened to come back but the Maroons put an end to that, hit back with a try to Slater and despite the horror injury to Thurston, 52,000 Queenslanders began to remember and celebrate win number six.

Last night was the hottest crowd I’ve ever been in. It was just plain loud from start to finish and never a dull moment.

The loudest noise I’d previously heard at Suncorp was on Steve Price Fight Night in Game III, 2009, when Locky hoisted that bomb just so the boys could bash some Blues. However last night we crowned a new king of noise ... and a new King of Origin.

Great Man’s Origin Career

The year 1995 was the first I can remember seriously starting to follow this sport and it was the year we met Darren Lockyer. He is the best player I have ever seen.

Lockyer’s Origin career will go down as possibly the best ever for Queensland. His leadership has been outstanding; his ability to come up with the right play at the right time is second to none. The man has been all class in TWO key positions and performed on the grandest stage on 36 occasions.

Lockyer’s work off the ball is something to watch as well. Television doesn’t show him directing traffic or scheming behind the play. This is probably what the Maroons will miss the most.

As I mentioned at the top, Darren Lockyer’s humility is perhaps his greatest asset. He is always the first to thank the opposition, the coaches and of course the fans.

The greatest Darren Lockyer Origin memory I have was when this dynasty began ... Game III, 2006. They said Origin was dead because Queensland couldn’t win a series. The Blues were ahead in the Decider with just a few minutes to go. But, there’s a loose ball and who swoops?? Lockyer gathers on the run and scoots over to score the try that wins the game for Queensland. Gus Gould was screaming NNNOOOO and the Maroons haven’t looked back since.

Handy Replacements

Darren Lockyer’s absence will create a huge hole in the Queensland team but there’s great back-up. Captain-in-waiting Cameron Smith will have a flawless transition into the top job and the Maroons won’t lose anything. There’s a guy named Cronk ready to move off the bench and into the halves, you may have heard of him?

The utility role will be filled by perhaps a Matt Gillett, Ben Te’o, Jack Reed or Ben Barba next year. Then there are guys by the names of Taylor and Shillington just itching to come back.

Some of the best young talent in the game like Dodds, Kennedy, McGuire, Cherry-Evans and Sandow won’t look out of place.

Yep, the future of Queensland is looking pretty damn good.

Where to for the Blues?

The next 2-3 years could produce the best football we have ever seen in Origin football. NSW has a stack of talent to work with and there’s no reason why every game next year can’t be an even money bet. Jamie Soward looks the goods and reminds me of a debuting Lockyer. He is a guy the Blues must build a team around and will be better for the run this year.

Jarryd Hayne had to be NSW fullback once Dugan was ruled out. Mini is a seasoned veteran who was good in Sydney but found out last night. Hayne was the only Blue to trouble Queensland and despite a couple of line breaks, was easily contained out wide. The try he scored came from playing a fullback’s role.

Last night proved the front rower is not dead with Matt Scott and Petero Civoniceva dominating the match. I agree with the decision to play Paul Gallen at prop (that’s how he plays anyway), but to give Tim Mannah and Keith Galloway minimal minutes was wrong. The tactic worked on a wet track in Sydney but was totally wrong on a fast pitch in Brisbane.

One thing they have done right is appoint a good coach. He pisses Queenslanders off like only one man who has come before him ... Phil Gould. Ricky Stuart was able to bring back the hate which, in case we needed it, gave Queensland more motivation to win six in a row.

This show ain’t over yet

I still have at least one more Darren Lockyer column in me when the time is right. But for now, once this Origin party is over, there is business to take care of.

The Broncos have a Grand Final to win and the final three months of NRL competition should be wonderful to watch.

TIPPING
Tips – Warriors, Tigers, Sharks, Storm, Penrith, Manly, Newcastle
Last Week – 2/5
Total –73/121 (60%)

You can contact me below, at Twitter (@keyto316) or email (Andrew.keyte@gmail.com).

Thanks for reading,
Keyto

Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Qld Teams Rd 18 - Teams arrive for grandest stage

Queensland and New South Wales have spent the day making their final preparations for what has been built as the biggest Origin match ever.

The Maroons arrived in Brisbane this morning after spending the build-up at their traditional Sunshine Coast base while the Blues flew into town yesterday.

Hype surrounding Darren Lockyer’s final Origin and New South Wales best chance in five years to win the series has ensured this match has been talked up by all within the rugby league community.

A sold out crowd at Suncorp Stadium and an expected massive Australian and international television audience could make this match the most watched game of rugby league in recent memory, if not ever.

Queensland centre Justin Hodges has overcome a minor hamstring twinge suffered on Friday and will play his first Origin match in two years.

His inclusion sends Dane Nielsen to the 18th man role while Jacob Lillyman replaces the suspended David Taylor.

The Maroons hold a positive 8-4 winning record in Deciders (two draws) and will start slight favourites despite a confident Blues taking momentum into the game.

New South Wales have a 19 man squad in Brisbane with coach Ricky Stuart reluctant to publicly name his final team until just before kick-off.

Tomorrow night’s match kicks off soon after 8pm and will be broadcast live to the east coast by Channel Nine.

Rogers Resisted

Titans coach John Cartwright has opted not to include returning veteran Mat Rogers for Friday night’s tough trip to face the Warriors in New Zealand.

Rogers, who finished his career with 199 NRL games, announced last week he would return to help the side for the remainder of the season.

However he said yesterday at this stage his best use could be on the training field but Rogers is still likely to travel with the squad later in the week.

Cartwright has largely stuck by the side humbled 12-36 by Cronulla before last weekend’s bye.

Jordan Rankin retains the fullback position with William Zillman at five-eighth while former New Zealand international Clinton Toopi will register his 150th NRL game ironically against the club, and at the ground, he spent the majority of his career.

Representative players Ashley Harrison and Greg Bird have been named but will be assessed following Origin III before the team leaves for New Zealand.

Luke Bailey and Bodene Thompson return after missing the Sharks game with Ben Ridge omitted and Luke O’Dwyer named 18th man.

Friday’s match starts at 6:30pm Queensland time and will be shown delayed on Channel Nine from 7:30pm.

Tonga returns

Maroons Origin I centre Willie Tonga will come back from a shoulder injury against the Knights in Newcastle on Monday night.

Tonga bravely battled on with the injury for an hour in the Origin opener only to be ruled out for the next five North Queensland matches.

However his timely injection should give the 4th-placed Cowboys an attacking boost as they look to make a strong return to Finals football.

Representative team-mate Brent Tate could return next week from a serious knee injury to play his first match of the season.

Tonga’s return sees Ben Jones drop back to the Queensland Cup with Will Tupou preferred for the Knights game.

Gavin Cooper returns to the back-row while former Knight Cory Paterson has been named on an extended bench for what would be his Cowboys debut.

Paterson signed with the club mid-season from Newcastle and after overcoming a minor knee injury, found his feet in the Queensland Cup and is now poised for an NRL return.

Potential rookie of the year Tariq Sims will serve the second and final game of a suspension resulting from the Round 15 match against the Warriors.

Hooker Aaron Payne remains in doubt with a fractured finger and a decision may not be made until game day.

Second-rower Scott Bolton is close to recovering from a calf injury and could possibly return against the Knights.

The Cowboys have co-captains Johnathan Thurston and Matt Scott representing the Maroons tomorrow night while NRL rookie forward Joel Riethmuller will play for the Queensland Residents in the curtain-raiser.

All three will be assessed but given the long turnaround from the games will likely play if they get through unscathed.

Newcastle are the only side to have defeated the Cowboys in Townsville this season following a comprehensive 34-22 victory in Round Two.

Monday’s match is live on Fox Sports with kick-off scheduled for 7pm.

Broncos rest

The Brisbane Broncos enter their second bye of the season comfortably in 5th position and poised for a tilt at the Premiership.

They have dropped just five matches this season, including two without Hodges (injury), Lockyer and Sam Thaiday following representative matches, to announce themselves as real contenders.

Success has followed the club off the field with The Sunday Mail revealing all current squad members apart from the retiring Lockyer and veteran forward Dane Carlaw were signed with the club for at least the next year.

Carlaw is still battling a knee injury and, along with Ben Te’o (fractured arm), will be sidelined at least another fortnight.

Last season’s rookie of the year Matt Gillett and Broncos player of the year Josh Hoffman showed some of their best form in last week’s 16-12 win, minus Origin stars, over Parramatta.

The Broncos next game is against Gold Coast at Suncorp Stadium a week from Friday.

Queensland vs. NSW, Origin III, Wednesday June July 6th, 8pm, (Channel Nine, live).
Billy Slater, Darius Boyd, Justin Hodges, Greg Inglis, Jharal Yow Yeh, Darren Lockyer (c), Johnathan Thurston, Matt Scott, Cameron Smith, Petero Civoniceva, Nate Myles, Sam Thaiday, Ashley Harrison Interchange: Cooper Cronk, Corey Parker, Jacob Lillyman, Ben Hannant. 18th Man – Dane Nielsen, Coach – Mal Meninga.

Gold Coast Titans vs. Warriors, Friday 6:30pm, (Channel Nine delayed, 7:35pm)
Jordan Rankin, Steve Michaels, Clinton Toopi, Esi Tonga, David Mead, William Zillman, Scott Prince (c), Luke Bailey, Matt Srama, Michael Henderson, Anthony Laffranchi, Mark Minichiello, Ashley Harrison. Interchange: Matthew White, Brenton Lawrence, Greg Bird, Bodene Thompson, Luke O’Dwyer (one to be omitted).

North Queensland Cowboys vs. Knights, Monday 7pm, (Fox Sports, live)
Matthew Bowen, Ashley Graham, Will Tupou, Willie Tonga, Kalifa Faifai Loa, Ray Thompson, Johnathan Thurston (c), Matt Scott (c), Aaron Payne, James Tamou, gavin Cooper, Glenn Hall, Dallas Johnson. Interchange: James Segeyaro, Joel Riethmuller, Ashton Sims, Leeson Ah Mau, Cory Paterson (one to be omitted).